ABSTRACT
Background: Despite high vaccination rates in the Netherlands, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) continues to circulate. Longitudinal sewage monitoring was implemented along with the notification of cases as two parts of the surveillance pyramid to validate the use of sewage surveillance for monitoring SARS-CoV-2, as an early warning tool, and to measure the effect of interventions. Methods: Sewage samples were collected from nine neighborhoods from September 2020 to November 2021, and compared with reported cases. Comparative analysis and modeling were performed to understand the correlation between wastewater and case trends. Findings: Using high resolution sampling, normalization of wastewater SARS-CoV-2 concentrations and normalization of reported positive tests for testing delay and intensity, the incidence of reported positive tests could be modeled based on sewage data, and trends in both surveillance systems coincided. The high collinearity implied that high levels of viral shedding around the onset of disease largely determines SARS-CoV-2 levels in wastewater and the observed relation was independent of SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccination levels. Interpretation: Wastewater surveillance can accurately display SARS-CoV-2 dynamics for small and large locations, and is sensitive enough to measure small variations in the number of infected individuals within or between neighborhoods. With the transition to a post-acute phase of the pandemic, continued sewage surveillance can help to keep sight on reemergence, but continued pyramid validation studies are needed to assess the predictive value of sewage surveillance with new variants. Funding: Horizon H2020, Adessium Foundation, STOWA, TKI, Ministry of Health, Welfare and Sport
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Coronavirus InfectionsABSTRACT
Over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020-2021, monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in wastewater has rapidly evolved into a supplementary surveillance instrument for public health. Short term trends (2 weeks) are used as a basis for policy and decision making on measures for dealing with the pandemic. Normalization is required to account for the varying dilution rates of the domestic wastewater, that contains the shedded virus RNA. The dilution rate varies due to runoff, industrial discharges and extraneous waters. Three normalization methods using flow, conductivity and CrAssphage, have been investigated on 9 monitoring locations between Sep 2020 and Aug 2021, rendering 1071 24-hour flow-proportional samples. In addition, 221 stool samples have been analyzed to determine the daily CrAssphage load per person. Results show that flow normalization supported by a quality check using conductivity monitoring is the advocated normalization method in case flow monitoring is or can be made available. Although Crassphage shedding rates per person vary greatly, the CrAssphage loads were very consistent over time and space and direct CrAssphage based normalization can be applied reliably for populations of 5600 and above.